Climatologist Erkin Abdulahatov, citing the World Meteorological Organization, has revealed that 2026 is expected to be the hottest year globally. In an interview for the "AzonTV" project, Abdulahatov explained that the warming of a significant portion of the Pacific Ocean will have a profound impact on global climate patterns.
Abdulahatov highlighted the occurrence of La Niño three years ago, resulting in dry winters, sudden anomalous cold periods, and dry springs. He stated that El Niño is set to occur again on July 13, leading to warming waters in a large area of the Pacific Ocean. This will increase the frequency of cyclones and anticyclones.
While the positive aspect is that more rainfall can be expected in mountainous regions during January and May, the downside is that this effect only lasts for a year before La Niño returns, continuing the drought cycle. The World Meteorological Organization predicts that 2026 will be the hottest year globally, with the average annual temperature potentially surpassing 1.5°C.
Earlier, Abdulahatov had analyzed this issue on his Telegram channel, highlighting the record-breaking heat experienced in 2016 during the previous El Niño event. With a 93% certainty, he anticipates that the average global temperature could rise above 1.5°C in 2026 due to the active influence of El Niño.
Abdulahatov noted the specific weather patterns observed in Uzbekistan during 2016, such as a warm winter, hot spring, and hot summer, followed by a cold autumn and early snowfall in November. He mentioned the higher-than-normal rainfall in the mountains during the colder months, which improved the water supply in the rivers. However, he also mentioned the occurrence of an "insect invasion" during spring and summer following the unusually warm winter.
Abdulahatov further emphasized that El Niño is likely to shape the global climate starting from May of this year, suggesting that the coming summer months may be hot and dry in the region. He cautiously mentioned the possibility of a warm winter based on the previous El Niño cycle in 2016. These are long-term forecasts with a low level of self-justification, but taking proactive measures would be beneficial, he added.
By current forecasts, 2024 is predicted to be the hottest year in the past 8-9 years and in the history of recorded observations.
Recently, we reported that the planet faces a dual challenge of global heating and an emerging El Niño event, which is the reason behind many floods and high-altitude jet-stream winds on the planet.
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